Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.120404 0.133044 0.146006 0.160266 0.175483 0.191207 0.208656
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.103393 0.122825 0.143737 0.167785 0.194547 0.223289 0.256362
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.087039 0.110492 0.136847 0.168345 0.204652 0.244885 0.292531
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.072460 0.098012 0.127915 0.164926 0.208932 0.259028 0.319805
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.065602 0.093601 0.127487 0.170622 0.223172 0.284247 0.359703
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059283 0.088985 0.126079 0.174526 0.234845 0.306237 0.395839
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.053410 0.084219 0.123869 0.176915 0.244294 0.325362 0.428551
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.047792 0.079158 0.120735 0.177660 0.251345 0.341369 0.457449
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.047108 0.080760 0.126289 0.189610 0.272619 0.375067 0.508292
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043282 0.077489 0.124961 0.192268 0.281860 0.393781 0.540798
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040294 0.075140 0.124655 0.196100 0.292518 0.414274 0.575636
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036356 0.070975 0.121475 0.195748 0.297480 0.427430 0.601275
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035136 0.071146 0.124767 0.204809 0.315690 0.458566 0.651056
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033973 0.071333 0.128105 0.214079 0.334477 0.490909 0.703072
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030749 0.067797 0.125634 0.214879 0.341625 0.508063 0.735718
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026729 0.062470 0.120060 0.210867 0.341901 0.516030 0.756466
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025512 0.061948 0.121870 0.217659 0.357270 0.544175 0.803759
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.023944 0.060620 0.122281 0.222302 0.369622 0.568380 0.846104
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022157 0.058686 0.121565 0.225139 0.379374 0.589130 0.884051
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020172 0.056144 0.119665 0.226024 0.386243 0.605965 0.916904
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020663 0.058602 0.126236 0.240170 0.412529 0.649621 0.985931
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019251 0.057011 0.125811 0.243310 0.422762 0.671302 1.025704
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.018168 0.055992 0.126291 0.247834 0.435041 0.695893 1.069569